Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Summit League · Mabee Center · February 28, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money ORU -400 / WIU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual ORU +36 154 Won
Massey ORU -10.3 (+25.7) — —
Massey Totals — 163.0 (-9.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -9.7 (+26.3) 161.0 (-7.0) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -8.5 (+27.5) 158.2 (-4.2) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -8.9 (+27.1) 157.7 (-3.7) 82% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -8.5 (+27.5) 158.9 (-4.9) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2023 ORU 82 – 73 WIU
Jan 13, 2023 ORU 87 – 63 WIU
Mar 7, 2022 ORU 80 – 68 WIU
Feb 4, 2022 WIU 90 – 85 ORU
Jan 8, 2022 ORU 87 – 86 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU WIU
Overall 18-11 7-15
Conference 10-5 5-9
Home 8-3 2-5
Away 5-7 4-9
Neutral 5-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 78.9 72.7
Avg Pts Against 77.2 80.5
Massey -1.0 (#182) -8.9 (#294)
Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#247) -2.14 (#320)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#237) -2.61 (#316)
RPI 0.510 (#152) 0.396 (#332)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU WIU
FG% 43.9% 40.9%
3PT% 38.9% 33.3%
REB / G 33.2 37.7
OREB / G 8.7 11.2
AST / TO 0.97 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 46.9%
TOV% 16.0% 17.3%
ORB% 24.4% 28.1%
FT Rate 22.1% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.2%
DRB% 67.2% 76.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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