Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
80 – 68
FINAL Neutral Conference Summit League
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Summit League · Denny Sanford Premier Center (Neutral) · March 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 165.0 Under
Money ORU -250 / WIU +205
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual ORU +12 148 Won
Massey ORU -4.8 (+7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 163.9 (-15.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -3.2 (+8.8) 162.4 (-14.4) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -4.2 (+7.8) 159.9 (-11.9) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -3.3 (+8.7) 162.8 (-14.8) 65% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -3.3 (+8.7) 161.1 (-13.1) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2023 ORU 82 – 73 WIU
Jan 13, 2023 ORU 87 – 63 WIU
Feb 4, 2022 WIU 90 – 85 ORU
Jan 8, 2022 ORU 87 – 86 WIU
Feb 28, 2021 ORU 95 – 59 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU WIU
Overall 19-12 16-16
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 10-5 9-6
Away 8-6 7-9
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 81.5 76.8
Avg Pts Against 77.8 77.7
Massey 1.3 (#141) -3.5 (#235)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#175) -0.70 (#231)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#163) -0.95 (#239)
RPI 0.507 (#164) 0.457 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU WIU
FG% 45.7% 43.3%
3PT% 37.5% 33.5%
REB / G 38.9 38.0
OREB / G 9.9 11.6
AST / TO 1.16 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 50.2%
TOV% 13.7% 16.2%
ORB% 26.7% 29.7%
FT Rate 16.6% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 12.7% 17.4%
DRB% 75.2% 77.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.7% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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