Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -120 URI +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.9 (+10.1) | 139.5 (+21.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -0.2 (+10.8) | 138.3 (+22.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -0.9 (+10.1) | 138.8 (+22.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -0.4 (+10.6) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-10 |
| Home | 5-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#136) | 5.9 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#163) | 0.45 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#150) | 1.07 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#191) | 0.494 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.