Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD +333 DRKE -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -7.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.3 (+12.3) | 141.1 (-13.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -6.4 (+12.4) | 134.1 (-6.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.1 (+11.1) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.6 (+11.6) | 139.9 (-11.9) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#144) | 10.8 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#206) | 2.58 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#208) | 2.40 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#175) | 0.562 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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