Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -600 CSUN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +3 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -12.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -10.2 (-13.2) | 140.4 (+36.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -9.8 (-12.8) | 138.5 (+38.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -11.4 (-14.4) | 140.6 (+36.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -11.4 (-14.4) | 140.6 (+36.4) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#140) | -8.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#135) | -0.83 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#125) | -1.21 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#128) | 0.439 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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