I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · February 28, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FAMU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SCST +300 / FAMU -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual FAMU +5 121 Lost
Massey FAMU -9.7 (+4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (-12.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 18% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FAMU -6.8 (+1.8) 132.1 (-11.1) 21% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAMU -7.0 (+2.0) 131.7 (-10.7) 20% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FAMU -6.3 (+1.3) 134.6 (-13.6) 19% ✓
Baseline ML FAMU -6.4 (+1.4) 126.8 (-5.8) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2021 SCST 63 – 57 FAMU
Feb 26, 2021 FAMU 75 – 67 SCST
Jan 10, 2021 FAMU 70 – 68 SCST

Game Analysis

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