Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · February 26, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FAMU -10.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money SCST +550 / FAMU -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual FAMU +8 142 Lost
Massey FAMU -12.1 (+4.1) — —
Massey Totals — 135.0 (+7.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FAMU -9.9 (+1.9) 133.4 (+8.6) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAMU -8.0 (+0.0) 136.5 (+5.5) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FAMU -11.9 (+3.9) 138.0 (+4.0) 14% ✓
Baseline ML FAMU -10.2 (+2.2) 133.8 (+8.2) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2021 FAMU 63 – 58 SCST
Feb 27, 2021 SCST 63 – 57 FAMU
Jan 10, 2021 FAMU 70 – 68 SCST

Game Analysis

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