Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +350 FAMU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -11.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -9.2 (+15.2) | 133.7 (-13.7) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -7.4 (+13.4) | 134.2 (-14.2) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -8.5 (+14.5) | 136.1 (-16.1) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -7.7 (+13.7) | 130.6 (-10.6) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2021 | FAMU 63 – 58 SCST |
| Feb 26, 2021 | FAMU 75 – 67 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2021 | FAMU 70 – 68 SCST |
Game Analysis
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