Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -300 MAN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -9.9 (-1.9) | 132.4 (-12.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.6 (+0.4) | 131.4 (-11.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -10.2 (-2.2) | 133.3 (-13.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -9.4 (-1.4) | 132.4 (-12.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 7-13 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | -7.2 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#105) | -1.04 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#107) | -1.46 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#77) | 0.443 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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