Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -600 KC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -10.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -8.8 (+3.2) | 137.4 (+28.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -7.9 (+4.1) | 132.5 (+33.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.2 (+2.8) | 135.9 (+30.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -8.6 (+3.4) | 136.4 (+29.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | -3.9 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#152) | -1.56 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#165) | -1.91 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#99) | 0.442 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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