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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nevada
@
Utah State
|
+6.0 | 142.7 | 75% | 66–87 | ✓ |
Florida International
@
Western Kentucky
|
+14.9 | 147.1 | 89% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Central Arkansas
|
-8.6 | 153.7 | 18% | 79–66 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+8.8 | 132.5 | 81% | 55–52 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Virginia
|
+13.1 | 120.9 | 88% | 51–62 | ✓ |
Quinnipiac
@
Marist
|
+2.8 | 133.2 | 66% | 52–65 | ✓ |
Massachusetts
@
Saint Louis
|
+7.4 | 145.9 | 78% | 57–78 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
Richmond
|
+13.2 | 156.6 | 83% | 76–73 | ✗ |
Hampton
@
Radford
|
+7.7 | 133.7 | 79% | 52–67 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Winthrop
|
+11.4 | 138.4 | 85% | 54–83 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.