Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -275 DAY +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +3 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -9.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -10.6 (-13.6) | 136.2 (-29.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -8.8 (-11.8) | 132.5 (-25.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -10.9 (-13.9) | 133.0 (-26.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -10.5 (-13.5) | 135.9 (-28.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | DAY 68 – 63 SBU |
| Feb 4, 2026 | DAY 72 – 70 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SBU 75 – 53 DAY |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DAY 76 – 71 SBU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | SBU 68 – 59 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#31) | 5.1 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#36) | 0.88 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#36) | 1.57 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#21) | 0.517 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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