I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · March 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -10.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SLU -600 / MASS +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +21 135 Won
Massey SLU -8.5 (+12.5) — —
Massey Totals — 152.0 (-17.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -8.0 (+13.0) 145.3 (-10.3) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -7.4 (+13.6) 145.9 (-10.9) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -7.8 (+13.2) 149.8 (-14.8) 78% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -8.0 (+13.0) 147.3 (-12.3) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2025 SLU 73 – 71 MASS
Jan 28, 2024 MASS 84 – 73 SLU
Jan 5, 2023 MASS 90 – 81 SLU
Jan 23, 2022 SLU 90 – 59 MASS
Jan 21, 2022 MASS 91 – 85 SLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU MASS
Overall 14-7 8-7
Conference 6-4 6-4
Home 12-1 4-3
Away 1-4 3-3
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.0 76.7
Avg Pts Against 65.4 73.0
Massey 10.7 (#42) 4.7 (#106)
Bradley-Terry 1.36 (#71) 0.55 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.83 (#68) 1.09 (#102)
RPI 0.540 (#95) 0.522 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU MASS
FG% 46.5% 41.6%
3PT% 34.7% 31.9%
REB / G 39.2 35.4
OREB / G 12.4 9.6
AST / TO 1.49 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 48.5%
TOV% 17.4% 16.3%
ORB% 35.6% 24.7%
FT Rate 20.7% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 20.4%
DRB% 78.0% 76.7%
Opp FT Rate 26.8% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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