Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -1400 JOES +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -16.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -13.4 (-16.4) | 155.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -13.2 (-16.2) | 156.6 (-7.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -14.9 (-17.9) | 155.2 (-6.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -14.4 (-17.4) | 155.0 (-6.0) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | JOES 67 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JOES 78 – 62 RICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | JOES 66 – 61 RICH |
| Mar 7, 2024 | RICH 73 – 66 JOES |
| Mar 2, 2023 | JOES 83 – 67 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 5-15 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Home | 6-4 | 3-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#57) | -3.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#58) | -0.78 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#58) | -0.55 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#42) | 0.454 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.