Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -120 QUIN +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +13 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -2.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -2.1 (+10.9) | 131.9 (-14.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -2.8 (+10.2) | 133.2 (-16.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -2.6 (+10.4) | 134.6 (-17.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -2.0 (+11.0) | 131.7 (-14.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-9 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#245) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#177) | -0.86 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#205) | -0.99 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#157) | 0.438 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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