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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–5 on winners spread MAE 10.3 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +8.4 154.3 82% 71–87 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell +0.3 131.8 52% 57–63 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +2.6 135.5 57% 77–61 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska -4.1 139.6 38% 51–72 ✗
North Carolina @ Syracuse -0.6 144.9 50% 70–72 ✗
Sam Houston @ Houston Christian -8.0 154.1 18% 83–70 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +4.3 137.8 69% 47–66 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word -0.1 138.4 45% 88–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +10.9 132.6 85% 58–64 ✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State -12.8 134.9 21% 63–67 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M -4.4 138.1 27% 68–58 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +2.0 146.4 63% 75–79 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon +0.8 136.3 62% 69–80 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State -9.0 133.8 16% 70–67 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +17.4 129.2 90% 44–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Mexico State +2.4 133.3 59% 51–69 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo +5.4 153.6 73% 78–80 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -2.9 150.8 39% 94–89 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -12.3 158.2 19% 79–81 ✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +6.7 135.0 78% 57–70 ✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina -6.6 157.2 28% 101–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.