Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -175 WAKE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -8.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -8.3 (+4.7) | 137.8 (-10.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -6.7 (+6.3) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -8.4 (+4.6) | 135.2 (-8.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -8.6 (+4.4) | 135.8 (-8.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | PITT 80 – 76 WAKE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WAKE 76 – 74 PITT |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PITT 81 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WAKE 91 – 58 PITT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PITT 77 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#87) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#119) | -0.16 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#98) | -0.18 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#180) | 0.454 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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