Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +275 TXSO -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +10 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -5.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -5.1 (-4.9) | 137.5 (-11.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.4 (-5.6) | 138.1 (-12.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -4.6 (-5.4) | 140.9 (-14.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.6 (-4.4) | 138.7 (-12.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 10-3 |
| Home | 5-2 | 8-2 |
| Away | 1-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#333) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#277) | -0.27 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#323) | -1.03 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#300) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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