Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +140 OU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -3.4 (+0.6) | 148.0 (+6.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -2.0 (+2.0) | 146.4 (+7.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -2.2 (+1.8) | 149.6 (+4.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -2.8 (+1.2) | 148.7 (+5.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#40) | 12.5 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#10) | 2.52 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#10) | 2.79 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#13) | 0.593 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.