Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -450 NWST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -10.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.1 (+5.9) | 153.3 (+4.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -8.4 (+7.6) | 154.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.3 (+5.7) | 156.3 (+1.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.7 (+6.3) | 155.3 (+2.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#196) | -10.1 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#168) | -1.81 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#194) | -2.74 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#150) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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