Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -600 UAPB +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -13.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -11.5 (-5.5) | 132.4 (-10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -10.9 (-4.9) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -10.8 (-4.8) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -11.5 (-5.5) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 3-12 |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#279) | -18.8 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#198) | -2.82 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#234) | -4.27 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#169) | 0.384 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.