Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -1200 UAPB +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +16 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -18.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -16.0 (+0.0) | 154.3 (+17.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -14.0 (+2.0) | 156.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -16.3 (-0.3) | 155.2 (+16.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -16.4 (-0.4) | 155.7 (+16.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
| Feb 13, 2024 | JKST 76 – 63 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-15 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#285) | -22.3 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#281) | -4.18 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#285) | -5.46 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#240) | 0.312 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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