Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB +380 JKST -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -11.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -11.0 (+4.0) | 148.8 (-3.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -9.7 (+2.7) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -10.5 (+3.5) | 148.9 (-3.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -10.0 (+3.0) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
| Feb 13, 2024 | JKST 76 – 63 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-1 |
| Away | 2-17 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -21.4 (#363) | -6.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#362) | -1.00 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.96 (#363) | -1.25 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#364) | 0.495 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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