Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | JKST +102 UAPB -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UAPB -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.1 (+2.9) | 151.1 (+7.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -0.1 (+3.1) | 150.7 (+8.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -0.1 (+3.1) | 154.8 (+4.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.3 (+2.7) | 151.6 (+7.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
| Feb 13, 2024 | JKST 76 – 63 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-15 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#358) | -13.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#315) | -1.32 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#323) | -1.94 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#290) | 0.465 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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