Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -333 UAPB +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -8.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -6.4 (-1.4) | 153.0 (+20.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -7.2 (-2.2) | 156.0 (+17.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -6.2 (-1.2) | 155.1 (+17.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -6.9 (-1.9) | 152.6 (+20.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 13, 2024 | JKST 76 – 63 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#297) | -12.8 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#259) | -1.72 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#281) | -2.31 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#230) | 0.435 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.