Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +1900 GRAM -3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MVSU +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -21.4 (+25.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -14.9 (+18.9) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -12.8 (+16.8) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -17.0 (+21.0) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -16.8 (+20.8) | 131.2 (-1.2) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GRAM 77 – 52 MVSU |
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 9-6 |
| Home | 1-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 56.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 87.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -33.9 (#349) | -10.0 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#343) | -1.15 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.74 (#348) | -1.85 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#336) | 0.458 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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