Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +175 BAY -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +5 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -5.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -1.9 (-3.1) | 153.7 (+29.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -2.9 (-2.1) | 150.8 (+32.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -1.9 (-3.1) | 153.2 (+29.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -2.1 (-2.9) | 153.2 (+29.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 28-2 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 13-1 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 7-2 | 7-1 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#22) | 22.5 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#4) | 4.43 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#9) | 5.38 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#3) | 0.635 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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