Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SC +250 ARK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +28 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | ARK -9.1 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -6.7 (-21.3) | 156.7 (+17.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARK -6.6 (-21.4) | 157.2 (+16.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -7.2 (-20.8) | 159.0 (+15.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -6.8 (-21.2) | 156.1 (+17.9) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARK 108 – 74 SC |
| Mar 12, 2025 | ARK 72 – 68 SC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SC 72 – 53 ARK |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SC 80 – 66 ARK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | SC 77 – 64 ARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 13-4 |
| Home | 3-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#106) | 16.0 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#129) | 2.66 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#114) | 3.20 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#147) | 0.608 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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