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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–7 on winners spread MAE 7.3 29 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Illinois @ Michigan	+4.5	146.2	68%	76–53	✗
Auburn @ Alabama	+9.1	157.5	85%	58–70	✓
Texas @ Iowa State	-10.5	139.5	18%	81–67	✓
TCU @ Texas Tech	+10.8	133.5	86%	49–69	✓
Merrimack @ Wagner	+5.4	131.3	73%	67–74	✓
Fresno State @ Boise State	+11.9	133.2	87%	67–64	✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State	+8.8	143.0	82%	104–108	✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky	+0.5	143.7	54%	69–70	✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State	+14.5	153.1	87%	94–92	✗
Tulsa @ UCF	+2.4	131.0	61%	69–73	✓
Xavier @ Georgetown	-0.6	141.3	56%	66–72	✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State	+8.5	149.5	81%	65–100	✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois	-2.2	131.7	40%	73–63	✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green	+4.5	143.7	67%	84–79	✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland	+2.2	152.6	61%	83–87	✓
Indiana @ Michigan State	+0.5	139.2	59%	58–64	✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech	+2.1	145.3	66%	77–81	✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU	+8.8	150.8	82%	68–83	✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue	+2.6	129.2	65%	69–73	✓
Marquette @ DePaul	-1.7	134.4	45%	77–71	✓
Memphis @ South Florida	-6.4	135.6	29%	73–52	✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss	+2.7	131.1	63%	62–70	✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle	+0.5	149.1	52%	72–66	✗
Fordham @ George Washington	+4.5	127.3	74%	49–53	✓
Merrimack @ Wagner	+5.4	132.1	73%	59–64	✓
Clemson @ Syracuse	+1.6	132.1	60%	54–64	✓
Wichita State @ Tulane	-2.5	139.6	35%	78–70	✓
UConn @ Seton Hall	-0.6	132.8	45%	69–58	✓
Missouri @ Florida	+4.8	140.5	70%	72–70	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.