Northern Kentucky
Norse
70
–
69
FINAL
Conference
Progressive Insurance Horizon League
Detroit Mercy
Titans
Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NKU +110 DETM -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -0.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.1 (+0.9) | 148.0 (-9.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.5 (+0.5) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.1 (+2.1) | 147.8 (-8.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.0 (+1.0) | 150.0 (-11.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 12-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#215) | -0.7 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#202) | -0.26 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#203) | -0.25 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#163) | 0.492 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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