Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
87
–
83
OT
FINAL
Conference
Progressive Insurance Horizon League
Youngstown State
Penguins
Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -138 YSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -2.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.4 (+2.6) | 154.4 (+15.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -2.2 (+1.8) | 152.6 (+17.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.4 (+2.6) | 155.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.8 (+2.2) | 156.3 (+13.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#267) | -5.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | -0.82 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#235) | -0.99 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#152) | 0.469 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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