Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +150 JOES -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -0.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.2 (-6.2) | 152.7 (-14.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -0.5 (-6.5) | 149.1 (-11.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.4 (-6.4) | 152.1 (-14.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.4 (-6.4) | 153.2 (-15.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | JOES 88 – 76 LAS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | JOES 67 – 58 LAS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JOES 75 – 70 LAS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LAS 81 – 74 JOES |
| Feb 13, 2025 | JOES 75 – 63 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 5-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 3-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#197) | -2.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#178) | -0.40 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | -0.25 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#180) | 0.474 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.