Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -250 M-OH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -6.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.8 (-9.8) | 147.1 (+15.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.5 (-9.5) | 143.7 (+19.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.4 (-9.4) | 149.0 (+14.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -5.6 (-10.6) | 146.9 (+16.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-8 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 10-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#118) | -0.4 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#147) | -0.46 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#153) | -0.37 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#157) | 0.476 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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