Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -1400 VAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -11.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -10.9 (+4.1) | 156.9 (-5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -8.8 (+6.2) | 150.8 (+0.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -11.5 (+3.5) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -11.5 (+3.5) | 158.1 (-7.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAN 84 – 73 LSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAN 80 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LSU 75 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | LSU 77 – 69 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#28) | 4.4 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 0.05 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#49) | 0.59 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#34) | 0.459 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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