Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | GW -275 FOR +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +4 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | GW -7.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -5.9 (-1.9) | 129.5 (-27.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.5 (-0.5) | 127.3 (-25.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -6.0 (-2.0) | 127.7 (-25.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.5 (-2.5) | 128.2 (-26.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GW 66 – 62 FOR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FOR 79 – 65 GW |
| Mar 13, 2025 | GW 88 – 81 FOR |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GW 81 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FOR 119 – 113 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-12 | 2-12 |
| Conference | 3-5 | 2-11 |
| Home | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Away | 1-5 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 51.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#235) | -11.2 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#263) | -1.38 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#225) | -1.89 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#278) | 0.406 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.