What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Wright State Raiders
92 – 94 OT
FINAL Conference Progressive Insurance Horizon League
Milwaukee Panthers
Horizon League · Nutter Center · March 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -13.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money WRST -1000 / MILW +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual MILW +2 186 Lost
Massey WRST -17.6 (-19.6) — —
Massey Totals — 151.2 (+34.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -15.3 (-17.3) 153.9 (+32.1) 89% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -14.5 (-16.5) 153.1 (+32.9) 87% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -15.2 (-17.2) 156.6 (+29.4) 88% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -15.5 (-17.5) 156.7 (+29.3) 88% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 WRST 76 – 69 MILW
Jan 1, 2026 WRST 76 – 70 MILW
Feb 15, 2025 MILW 88 – 80 WRST
Jan 23, 2025 MILW 95 – 79 WRST
Jan 21, 2024 WRST 95 – 81 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST MILW
Overall 18-6 10-12
Conference 16-4 7-10
Home 9-4 4-5
Away 9-2 6-6
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 75.5
Avg Pts Against 67.4 76.3
Massey 10.5 (#47) -4.6 (#247)
Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#110) -0.88 (#244)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#100) -1.31 (#258)
RPI 0.566 (#60) 0.449 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST MILW
FG% 48.3% 43.9%
3PT% 37.2% 33.1%
REB / G 42.1 34.7
OREB / G 11.9 8.6
AST / TO 1.23 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 50.0%
TOV% 17.8% 15.4%
ORB% 34.4% 23.6%
FT Rate 24.1% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 18.4%
DRB% 74.7% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 14.7% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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