Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DEP +225 MARQ -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -3.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -2.4 (-3.6) | 135.3 (+12.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.7 (-4.3) | 134.4 (+13.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -2.7 (-3.3) | 135.9 (+12.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -2.5 (-3.5) | 135.2 (+12.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-14 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 8-11 |
| Home | 2-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#141) | 6.9 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#181) | 1.31 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#161) | 1.81 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#293) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.