Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NIU -110 WMU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -3.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -3.2 (-6.8) | 133.1 (+2.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -2.2 (-7.8) | 131.7 (+4.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -3.5 (-6.5) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -3.1 (-6.9) | 133.2 (+2.8) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NIU 85 – 65 WMU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WMU 74 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WMU 72 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | WMU 95 – 90 NIU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NIU 81 – 53 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-16 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 4-12 |
| Home | 2-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#339) | -8.9 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#339) | -1.75 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#339) | -2.04 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#341) | 0.429 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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