We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
American Conference · Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · March 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -5.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money TULN +230 / WICH -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total TULN win
Actual WICH +8 148 Lost
Massey WICH -4.8 (-3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (+12.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -4.2 (-3.8) 135.1 (+12.9) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -2.5 (-5.5) 139.6 (+8.4) 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -4.0 (-4.0) 137.5 (+10.5) 33% ✓
Baseline ML WICH -4.1 (-3.9) 136.7 (+11.3) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WICH 75 – 61 TULN
Feb 23, 2025 WICH 78 – 67 TULN
Mar 9, 2024 TULN 85 – 75 WICH
Mar 11, 2023 TULN 82 – 76 WICH
Feb 26, 2023 WICH 83 – 76 TULN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TULN WICH
Overall 10-13 16-6
Conference 4-12 11-2
Home 6-6 10-2
Away 3-6 5-2
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 63.9 70.9
Avg Pts Against 66.5 68.5
Massey 0.1 (#164) 7.4 (#79)
Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#149) 2.42 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#138) 2.72 (#34)
RPI 0.464 (#234) 0.601 (#24)
Shooting & Four Factors TULN WICH
FG% 37.7% 39.9%
3PT% 29.7% 33.1%
REB / G 32.9 37.5
OREB / G 8.5 12.0
AST / TO 0.97 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.8% 46.5%
TOV% 17.3% 16.1%
ORB% 23.4% 31.0%
FT Rate 27.4% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 23.0% 17.6%
DRB% 70.4% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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