Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -900 TCU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -14.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.6 (+8.4) | 137.2 (-19.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.8 (+9.2) | 133.5 (-15.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.4 (+8.6) | 134.4 (-16.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.3 (+8.7) | 136.1 (-18.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#19) | 2.4 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#21) | 1.50 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#23) | 1.40 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#63) | 0.542 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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