Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +110 CONN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +11 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -0.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -0.6 (-11.6) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -0.6 (-10.4) | 132.8 (-5.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.6 (-11.6) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.9 (-11.9) | 134.6 (-7.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 11-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#51) | 12.4 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#57) | 2.08 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#52) | 2.79 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#51) | 0.577 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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