Cleveland State
Vikings
108
–
104
3OT
FINAL
Conference
Progressive Insurance Horizon League
Purdue Fort Wayne
Mastodons
Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -333 PFW +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +4 | 212 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -9.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+70.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -8.3 (-4.3) | 144.6 (+67.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -8.8 (-4.8) | 143.0 (+69.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -9.9 (-5.9) | 145.8 (+66.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -8.3 (-4.3) | 146.4 (+65.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | PFW 92 – 86 CLE |
| Jan 4, 2026 | PFW 74 – 71 CLE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CLE 68 – 57 PFW |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CLE 68 – 58 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | CLE 75 – 72 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -8.4 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | -1.36 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#150) | -1.73 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#42) | 0.417 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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