In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–10 on winners spread MAE 9.5 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lehigh @ Boston University +8.4 141.3 77% 58–69 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +3.3 131.2 56% 75–70 ✗
Florida A&M @ North Carolina Central +1.0 130.6 50% 65–58 ✗
Providence @ St. John's +2.1 152.1 59% 67–81 ✓
NC State @ Notre Dame +1.4 144.8 53% 80–69 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State +3.3 148.4 70% 65–84 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Sam Houston +13.6 144.7 87% 61–84 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +16.3 136.0 90% 73–87 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +14.5 143.8 87% 61–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans +3.0 154.3 68% 83–92 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +1.9 138.2 59% 67–72 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas +0.9 146.2 48% 71–88 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +3.6 142.2 72% 60–72 ✓
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M -2.9 125.3 35% 63–57 ✓
Boston College @ Florida State +12.8 155.0 86% 64–93 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -9.8 129.5 20% 71–62 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon +2.3 134.1 64% 74–82 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -1.7 130.0 41% 55–60 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin -0.4 144.1 45% 63–61 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +10.2 140.5 84% 68–63 ✗
Stanford @ USC +8.0 140.3 80% 42–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +6.6 135.4 72% 54–61 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +3.6 137.9 63% 67–62 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +4.7 155.2 70% 66–100 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +14.6 133.4 87% 59–69 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +0.3 139.6 45% 68–60 ✗
Rhode Island @ Dayton +0.6 140.3 51% 72–84 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -0.4 135.5 45% 60–65 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider -4.1 152.5 32% 77–74 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +6.9 139.1 78% 59–73 ✓
Campbell @ Radford +2.9 127.8 54% 78–60 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +9.1 138.5 81% 50–80 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +2.8 127.2 60% 73–63 ✗
Fairfield @ Manhattan +3.4 129.7 60% 59–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.