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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
41–7 on winners
spread MAE 7.4
48 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
@
Michigan
|
+11.4 | 140.7 | 85% | 50–69 | ✓ |
Oklahoma State
@
Baylor
|
+11.6 | 152.4 | 85% | 70–81 | ✓ |
TCU
@
West Virginia
|
+11.0 | 143.1 | 86% | 67–76 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Texas Tech
|
+14.7 | 138.1 | 89% | 54–81 | ✓ |
Vanderbilt
@
Cincinnati
|
+1.7 | 143.6 | 58% | 78–64 | ✗ |
Canisius
@
Siena
|
+4.3 | 136.2 | 64% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Florida A&M
@
North Carolina Central
|
+0.2 | 130.2 | 52% | 71–74 | ✓ |
Stetson
@
Bellarmine
|
+3.8 | 136.3 | 66% | 73–70 | ✗ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Lipscomb
|
+2.1 | 135.4 | 59% | 72–60 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Winthrop
|
+10.4 | 135.5 | 85% | 61–82 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
McNeese
|
-7.4 | 153.4 | 25% | 80–67 | ✓ |
UTEP
@
Kansas
|
+11.4 | 135.5 | 85% | 62–67 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
Jacksonville State
|
+0.6 | 134.4 | 52% | 65–68 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Jackson State
|
+6.7 | 129.9 | 77% | 35–50 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+8.0 | 133.4 | 77% | 61–68 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Texas Southern
|
+10.4 | 143.8 | 85% | 78–80 | ✓ |
Nebraska
@
Iowa
|
+13.9 | 157.7 | 86% | 64–102 | ✓ |
Texas
@
Oklahoma
|
+0.2 | 142.5 | 59% | 69–65 | ✗ |
Arizona State
@
Colorado
|
+10.1 | 147.5 | 84% | 61–75 | ✓ |
San Diego
@
San Francisco
|
+7.5 | 143.1 | 77% | 51–67 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Northern Iowa
|
+2.0 | 140.8 | 61% | 60–65 | ✓ |
UCF
@
East Carolina
|
-0.1 | 135.0 | 40% | 64–60 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Weber State
|
+10.3 | 143.8 | 85% | 59–60 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Grambling
|
+6.9 | 135.9 | 81% | 68–91 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
Utah State
|
+14.3 | 148.6 | 87% | 59–72 | ✓ |
Southern Utah
@
Portland State
|
-0.3 | 141.0 | 40% | 68–58 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
+1.8 | 151.0 | 59% | 67–70 | ✓ |
Portland
@
Santa Clara
|
+9.5 | 147.2 | 83% | 86–95 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+6.3 | 127.5 | 75% | 59–75 | ✓ |
Southern Illinois
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+13.5 | 123.3 | 86% | 49–73 | ✓ |
Morgan State
@
Delaware State
|
-9.4 | 154.6 | 18% | 92–67 | ✓ |
Massachusetts
@
Saint Louis
|
+4.3 | 141.1 | 68% | 72–86 | ✓ |
Stetson
@
Liberty
|
+8.2 | 134.9 | 79% | 64–77 | ✓ |
Sacramento State
@
Montana State
|
+3.1 | 139.6 | 58% | 75–77 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Indiana State
|
+4.4 | 129.8 | 68% | 43–53 | ✓ |
Idaho State
@
Eastern Washington
|
+9.0 | 139.9 | 83% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
VCU
|
+4.8 | 135.5 | 73% | 68–73 | ✓ |
Saint Peter's
@
Quinnipiac
|
+0.1 | 133.0 | 44% | 66–64 | ✗ |
Monmouth
@
Rider
|
-3.5 | 152.7 | 30% | 65–62 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Central Michigan
|
+7.0 | 146.4 | 73% | 79–74 | ✗ |
Western Carolina
@
The Citadel
|
+0.7 | 155.9 | 53% | 86–100 | ✓ |
George Mason
@
Davidson
|
+2.9 | 130.8 | 60% | 67–99 | ✓ |
Middle Tennessee
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+10.5 | 138.4 | 85% | 54–63 | ✓ |
Boston College
@
Miami
|
+1.1 | 144.6 | 63% | 76–80 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Manhattan
|
+3.7 | 129.3 | 60% | 85–67 | ✗ |
Kent State
@
Buffalo
|
+3.0 | 153.7 | 66% | 67–81 | ✓ |
Georgia Southern
@
Arkansas State
|
+1.4 | 135.3 | 57% | 58–62 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
South Alabama
|
+2.9 | 133.5 | 65% | 72–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.