Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MCN +200 NICH -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -8.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.9 (-6.1) | 151.8 (-4.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.4 (-5.6) | 153.4 (-6.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.6 (-4.4) | 157.1 (-10.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -7.8 (-5.2) | 155.3 (-8.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-14 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#332) | -1.7 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#335) | 0.11 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.74 (#338) | -0.25 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#337) | 0.523 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.