Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -2500 NEB +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +38 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -17.4 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -16.3 (+21.7) | 155.0 (+11.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -13.9 (+24.1) | 157.7 (+8.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -17.1 (+20.9) | 155.2 (+10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -16.7 (+21.3) | 153.7 (+12.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#6) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#9) | 0.33 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#5) | 0.83 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#38) | 0.474 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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