Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +160 SPU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -0.4 (-2.4) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -0.1 (-2.1) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -0.3 (-2.3) | 134.2 (-4.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -0.3 (-2.3) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 61.5 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#250) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#237) | -0.00 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#231) | -0.00 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#268) | 0.502 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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