I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–28 on winners spread MAE 8.7 79 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Canisius @ Siena +4.6 136.1 65% 76–75 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +11.6 140.0 86% 67–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Alabama -0.9 137.8 50% 81–96 ✗
Ball State @ Toledo +9.6 154.8 84% 70–89 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +2.7 138.3 61% 64–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -0.5 141.6 51% 73–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -7.9 144.4 24% 72–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -8.3 143.9 19% 71–68 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +7.4 140.1 75% 71–69 ✗
UAB @ North Texas +4.7 127.1 64% 65–51 ✗
Samford @ Mercer +5.7 147.1 73% 59–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Belmont +4.2 143.9 68% 69–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest -6.1 137.4 25% 75–63 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +4.3 128.9 60% 65–47 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -8.9 138.7 16% 82–59 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +0.5 152.3 54% 85–89 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +18.0 131.5 90% 57–71 ✓
Little Rock @ App State -1.0 130.7 51% 60–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech -9.1 136.9 20% 76–66 ✓
Colorado State @ Nevada -1.2 141.1 50% 82–85 ✗
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +0.9 136.8 57% 66–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +5.8 133.9 77% 55–66 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +3.0 133.2 61% 91–86 ✗
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +7.4 135.2 77% 59–55 ✗
Seattle U @ California Baptist +2.6 147.0 54% 80–79 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State +1.0 143.2 56% 64–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific +2.5 137.3 63% 81–76 ✗
Florida State @ Notre Dame -4.1 149.3 39% 73–83 ✗
South Carolina @ Kentucky +6.0 149.8 74% 64–92 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +6.6 134.2 76% 76–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Bryant +8.7 153.5 80% 55–85 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +6.8 151.4 79% 72–80 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +8.2 136.7 79% 82–98 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +0.1 139.9 53% 77–70 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Clemson +4.2 130.1 71% 62–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago +7.8 123.3 78% 49–65 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +8.9 138.4 83% 63–80 ✓
Mississippi State @ Auburn +2.3 143.1 65% 71–78 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +14.7 149.6 89% 69–77 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +3.1 140.0 58% 74–73 ✗
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +5.0 151.5 71% 85–80 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia -5.9 159.5 34% 89–79 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +6.0 134.4 74% 58–67 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +3.6 146.5 61% 59–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +5.3 135.8 69% 79–77 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +11.5 139.0 86% 66–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +4.1 154.2 59% 92–84 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Wagner +3.6 126.1 63% 66–60 ✗
Villanova @ Providence -2.6 135.8 41% 52–54 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -1.8 130.4 40% 63–53 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State +2.8 153.4 66% 70–79 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +0.5 156.1 56% 86–80 ✗
Towson @ Elon +2.6 132.3 63% 48–69 ✓
American University @ Army +6.0 136.1 75% 66–89 ✓
Southern Utah @ Portland State -0.7 140.2 39% 73–54 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +11.2 134.5 86% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State -0.4 149.9 51% 73–68 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville -1.4 127.0 47% 68–58 ✓
Hartford @ Vermont +7.1 135.2 77% 71–65 ✗
Missouri State @ Drake +3.3 136.0 63% 69–71 ✓
USC @ UCLA -1.8 135.6 49% 64–63 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +17.4 132.8 90% 60–85 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern +5.4 144.3 76% 74–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +14.0 140.1 88% 80–87 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +9.8 137.1 84% 73–93 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -9.9 154.2 17% 75–82 ✗
Iowa State @ Kansas State +2.8 133.6 71% 56–61 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +7.4 139.8 74% 57–60 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +4.8 126.8 63% 65–61 ✗
Lamar @ McNeese -0.7 142.3 38% 60–51 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +1.1 138.7 53% 62–61 ✗
South Alabama @ Louisiana +1.3 142.5 55% 68–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure +0.4 125.8 51% 53–71 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +4.8 144.6 72% 73–91 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian +4.3 143.3 63% 94–70 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston +2.3 146.7 61% 64–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +4.2 144.9 69% 68–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Jackson State +11.6 130.8 84% 54–79 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +11.6 149.8 83% 71–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.