We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · March 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money WVU -500 / OKST +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual OKST +5 165 Lost
Massey WVU -5.2 (-10.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.5 (+10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -6.4 (-11.4) 153.5 (+11.5) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WVU -5.0 (-10.0) 151.5 (+13.5) 71% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WVU -6.0 (-11.0) 152.6 (+12.4) 73% ✗
Baseline ML WVU -5.9 (-10.9) 154.2 (+10.8) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 OKST 91 – 84 WVU
Jan 4, 2025 WVU 69 – 50 OKST
Jan 27, 2024 OKST 70 – 66 WVU
Feb 21, 2023 WVU 85 – 67 OKST
Jan 3, 2023 OKST 67 – 60 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU OKST
Overall 19-10 21-9
Conference 11-6 11-7
Home 8-5 10-3
Away 7-2 8-4
Neutral 4-3 3-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 76.6
Avg Pts Against 72.0 72.7
Massey 13.8 (#23) 11.1 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 3.04 (#5) 2.95 (#8)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.79 (#9) 3.71 (#10)
RPI 0.637 (#4) 0.613 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU OKST
FG% 42.9% 46.2%
3PT% 36.7% 33.9%
REB / G 38.9 38.8
OREB / G 13.7 11.0
AST / TO 1.16 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 51.7%
TOV% 16.9% 21.4%
ORB% 36.2% 31.3%
FT Rate 28.6% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 19.4%
DRB% 69.4% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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