Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -145 SCU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -3.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -2.4 (-7.4) | 136.6 (+20.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.5 (-7.5) | 137.3 (+19.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.0 (-8.0) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -2.7 (-7.7) | 137.6 (+19.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#136) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#92) | 0.88 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#103) | 0.43 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#107) | 0.539 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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